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By local resident Jerry Truitt of the Delmarva Stargazers amateur astronomy club.
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We are at the start of a new solar cycle. This is an
exciting time for those who observe the sun. The special equipment required to see the activity on the sun is not
cheap and it has been useless for a long time. Our sun has been in a very quite period for some time now so the new
cycle is welcome. The follow is an article from the SOHO.
SOHO, the Solar & Heliospheric Observatory, is a project of international collaboration between ESA and NASA to study the
Sun from its deep core to the outer corona and the solar wind.
SOHO was launched on December 2, 1995. The SOHO spacecraft was built in Europe by an industry team led by prime contractor
Matra Marconi Space (now EADS Astrium) under overall management by ESA. The twelve instruments on board SOHO were provided
by European and American scientists. Nine of the international instrument consortia are led by European Principal
Investigators (PI's), three by PI's from the US. Large engineering teams and more than 200 co-investigators from many
institutions supported the PI's in the development of the instruments and in the preparation of their operations and data
analysis. NASA was responsible for the launch and is now responsible for mission operations. Large radio dishes around the
world which form NASA's Deep Space Network are used for data downlink and commanding. Mission control is based at Goddard
Space Flight Center in Maryland. |
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| Artist's concept of the Sun's meridional
circulation, a large scale flow that transports solar plasma from the equator to the poles and back like a giant conveyor
belt. Credit: Science@NASA. |
One of the outstanding questions facing solar physicists is the origin of the solar
magnetic cycle: What drives the 11-year sunspot cycle? We have just passed an extended and deep minimum, unlike any in the
past 100 years. The late onset of the new solar cycle (#24) and the unusually deep minimum between cycles 23 and 24 took all
experts by surprise, which suggests that there is a fundamental lack in our understanding of the origin of the solar activity
cycle.
The Sun's meridional circulation is a massive flow pattern within the Sun that transports hot plasma near the surface from
the solar equator to the poles and back to the equator in the deeper layers of the convection zone, similar to a "conveyor
belt". The flow is rather slow, with typical speeds of 10-15 m/s (20 to 30 mph). The structure and strength of this
meridional flow is believed to play a key role in determining the strength of the Sun's polar magnetic field, which in turn
determines the strength of the sunspot cycles. One class of dynamo models predicts that a stronger meridional flow produces
weaker polar fields, whereas another class of models predicts stronger polar fields (and a shorter sunspot cycle) for the
same flow.
Analyzing more than 60,000 full disk magnetograms registered by the MDI instrument on SOHO between May 1996 and June 2009,
scientist now measured the latitudinal profile of this flow and its variations over a solar cycle by tracking the motions
of small-scale magnetic flux concentrations, which are carried away by the meridional flow like leaves on a river. They
found an average flow that is poleward at all latitudes up to 75 degrees, which suggests that it extends all the way to the
poles. Perhaps even more importantly, they also found that the flow was faster at sunspot cycle minimum than at maximum and
substantially faster on the approach to the current minimum than it was at the last solar minimum. This finding poses new
constraints on solar dynamo models and may help to explain why the last solar minimum was so peculiar.
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Meridional Flow variation from
1996 - 2009 as measured by SOHO/MDI. The scaled smoothed sunspot number is shown in red to indicate the phase of the solar
activity cycle. Note the significantly higher meridional flow speed during the approach to the current minimum compared to
the previous minimum (from Hathaway & Rightmire: 2010, Science 327, 1350). |
I've also added a new clear sky clock specifically for Elk Forest to our web site.
What is a clear sky clock? It's the astronomer's forecast. At a glance, it shows when it will be cloudy or clear for up
to the next two days. It's a prediction of when Elk Forest, MD, will have good weather for astronomical observing.
The forecast data comes from those very cool guys at the Canadian Meteorological Center. CMC's numerical weather forecasts
are unique because they are specifically designed for astronomers. But they have 763 forecast maps. It can be a chore to find the one you want.
So, Attilla Danko wrote a script to generate the images like the one above which summarizes CMC's forecast images just for
Elk Forest and the surroundings out to about 10 miles. Click anywhere on the clock to be taken to a web site that will provide
a detailed expalnation of what the clock is telling you.
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